Key Ideas
1Correlation Coefficient (r). A number between -1 and 1 that quantifies both the strength and direction of a linear relationship.
2Positive vs. Negative Correlation. Positive (r > 0): as one variable increases, so does the other. Negative (r < 0): as one increases, the other decreases.
3Strength of Correlation. Values of r close to 1 or -1 indicate a strong relationship; values close to 0 indicate a weak or no linear relationship.
4Correlation Does Not Imply Causation. Two variables can be strongly correlated without one causing the other — there may be a third factor, or the link may be coincidental.
5Correlation vs. Regression. Correlation measures how strongly two variables are related; regression goes further, providing an equation to predict one variable from the other.
Worked Examples
A study finds r = 0.9 between hours studied and exam score. Interpret this value.
Strong positive correlation — more study hours are strongly associated with higher scores
A study finds r = -0.85 between temperature and hot chocolate sales. Interpret this value.
Strong negative correlation — as temperature rises, hot chocolate sales tend to fall
A study finds r = 0.05 between shoe size and IQ. Interpret this value.
Very weak or no correlation — shoe size and IQ are not linearly related